Russian Oligarchs Stay Loyal as New Billionaires Rise (Full Transcript)

Despite sanctions and early losses, Russia’s billionaires largely back or benefit from the war, while Putin punishes dissent—boosting his grip at home.
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[00:00:00] Speaker 1: War is bad for business, right? Well that's how it seems after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022. Because of the war, western sanctions and a weaker national currency, Russia's billionaires lost more than a quarter of their wealth. They lost their megayachts, private jets and villas dotted around the world. And people in Ukraine, and some in the West, hoped that they would turn on Vladimir Putin, because he started the war and made them poorer. They didn't. Why? Well, some genuinely support the war, some have benefitted hugely from enormous military contracts, and others have benefitted from western businesses withdrawing from Russia. As a result, 57 new billionaires appeared in Russia since the start of the full-scale invasion four years ago, and right now their number is highest ever, 140. And also, Vladimir Putin knows how to make billionaires toe the line. Because speaking out and opposing him comes at a hefty price, as some of Russia's mega-rich have found out. For example, Mikhail Tverkovsky, a former oil tycoon, spent 10 years in jail after setting up a pro-democracy group. More recently, another billionaire, Oleg Tinkov, lost almost 9 billion dollars and had to leave Russia after criticising the war against Ukraine in an Instagram post. So, what does this all mean? Bad news for Ukraine and its allies in the West, and good news for Vladimir Putin, whose power at home remains unchallenged.

ai AI Insights
Arow Summary
After Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, sanctions and a weaker ruble cut Russian billionaires’ wealth and cost them foreign assets. Hopes they would oppose Vladimir Putin largely failed because some support the war, others profit from state military contracts, and many gained from Western firms exiting Russia. Despite initial losses, Russia has seen 57 new billionaires since the full-scale invasion, bringing the total to a record 140. Putin also enforces loyalty by punishing dissent, as seen in cases like Mikhail Khodorkovsky’s imprisonment and Oleg Tinkov’s forced exit and major financial losses after criticizing the war. Overall, oligarchs’ alignment with the regime strengthens Putin domestically and undermines expectations of elite-driven pressure to end the war.
Arow Title
Why Russia’s Billionaires Haven’t Turned on Putin
Arow Keywords
Russia Remove
Ukraine war Remove
sanctions Remove
oligarchs Remove
billionaires Remove
Vladimir Putin Remove
wealth losses Remove
military contracts Remove
Western business exit Remove
political repression Remove
Khodorkovsky Remove
Oleg Tinkov Remove
Arow Key Takeaways
  • Sanctions and ruble weakness initially reduced Russian billionaires’ wealth and overseas assets.
  • Elite opposition to Putin did not materialize because many oligarchs either support the war or profit from it.
  • State spending and military contracts have created new winners, contributing to a record number of Russian billionaires.
  • Western companies’ withdrawal opened opportunities for domestic takeover and enrichment.
  • Putin maintains elite discipline through credible threats and severe penalties for dissent.
  • The lack of billionaire pushback strengthens Putin’s domestic position, complicating Western expectations of internal pressure.
Arow Sentiments
Neutral: The tone is analytical and explanatory, describing wealth changes and political dynamics with examples of punishment for dissent and profits from wartime conditions without emotive language aimed at persuasion.
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