Warm Layer Aloft Turns Snow to Sleet in Louisville (Full Transcript)

A meteorologist explains how a “warm nose” above freezing changed snow to sleet and why a deeper warm layer could shift precipitation to freezing rain.
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[00:00:00] Speaker 1: The dreams of a record-shattering historic snowfall in Louisville, Kentucky, where I'm located, likely shattered. Here's the reason why. Take a close examination of the type of snow that fell overnight. See those little granular ice pellets? That's known as sleet, and it's all determined by the temperature that's directly above us. So I've got this demonstration. The blue panels here representing the temperature that is below freezing in the atmosphere. So if it was to be all snow, the precipitation that falls through this would stay frozen. But if we get what's known as a warm nose of temperature that's above freezing, it allows that precipitation to actually melt right here before refreezing at the surface, creating the ice pellets and also limiting the amount of snow that falls from the sky. What we do not want to see is when that warm nose becomes so thick that there is only the shallow layer of temperature right above us. Right at the surface below freezing, this is the situation when precipitation falls as freezing rain, because it melts into liquid and then refreezes at the surface, and that's when we have crippling ice storms.

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Arow Summary
A Louisville, Kentucky weather update explains why a hoped-for record snowfall likely won’t happen: much of the overnight precipitation fell as sleet due to a warm layer aloft. The speaker demonstrates how atmospheric temperature profiles control precipitation type—all-snow occurs when the column stays below freezing; a “warm nose” above freezing melts snowflakes which then refreeze into sleet near the surface. If the warm layer becomes thicker with only a shallow subfreezing layer at the ground, melted drops reach the surface as supercooled liquid and freeze on contact, producing freezing rain and potentially severe ice storms.
Arow Title
Why Louisville’s Snow Turned to Sleet—and the Ice Risk
Arow Keywords
Louisville Kentucky Remove
snowfall forecast Remove
sleet Remove
freezing rain Remove
warm nose Remove
temperature profile Remove
atmospheric column Remove
winter precipitation types Remove
ice pellets Remove
ice storm risk Remove
Arow Key Takeaways
  • Overnight precipitation included sleet, reducing total snowfall potential.
  • Precipitation type depends on the vertical temperature profile, not just surface temperature.
  • All snow requires subfreezing temperatures through the full atmospheric column.
  • A warm layer aloft (“warm nose”) melts snow, which can refreeze into sleet before reaching the ground.
  • If the warm layer is deep and the surface cold layer is shallow, precipitation becomes freezing rain, increasing ice storm risk.
Arow Sentiments
Neutral: Informational, explanatory tone focused on meteorological mechanisms and impacts; no strong positive or negative emotion beyond caution about ice storm potential.
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