Melania Documentary Claims: Ratings and Box Office Context (Full Transcript)
[00:00:00] Speaker 1: Melania Trump has released her documentary. On Sunday she claimed it's the highest opening weekend for a documentary in a decade, with some high ratings too. But were these claims accurate? Spreadsheets out. Popcorn Meter, the online fan rating system, did give the movie 99%, but film website Rotten Tomatoes Critics' score was 10% on Sunday, not 98%, and the cinema score rating is an A. Other scoring websites such as Metacritic and IMDb had lower scores, and it may have the highest opening weekend box office in a decade, but only in the US market, not counting China. Melania has had a reported opening weekend of over $7 million, more than the expected estimate of $5 million. But the highest grossing opening weekend for a documentary is Justin Bieber's Never Say Never, which opened with $29 million in the US and Canada in 2011. And if we're counting concert films, then Bieber and Melania are dwarfed by Taylor Swift's Eras Tour, which opened with $93 million in 2023. So Melania has had the highest grossing opening of any documentary in the past 10 years in the US market, but not if you're including concert films.
- Audience-driven ratings showed very high approval, but critics’ ratings were much lower on Rotten Tomatoes at the time cited.
- Reported opening weekend revenue exceeded forecasts (~$7M vs ~$5M expected).
- The ‘highest opening in a decade’ claim may be accurate only for U.S. documentaries over the last 10 years and depends on definitions (excluding concert films and non-U.S. markets).
- Historically, Justin Bieber’s 2011 documentary opened much higher, and concert films like Taylor Swift’s Eras Tour far surpass these figures.